Borrow, because we tell you to

Saturday 11th April 2009, 2:30PM BST.

PUBLICATION of the Policy Council’s  fiscal policy framework – a document so impenetrable and laden with jargon that it comes with a two-page explanation of some of the worst examples – has helped put the focus back on the significance of the island contemplating borrowing millions of pounds to carry out capital projects.

Under the council’s proposed rules, Guernsey would be able to seek loans of up to £333m. Wrapped up in council-speak, that level of debt appears acceptable, almost a good thing to do.

What the report doesn’t say is that following the strategy to the letter would represent a debt burden of almost £8,000 per taxpayer. Nor does it set out why islanders, who are naturally careful with their own money, would want to saddle themselves with so much borrowing.

The reason, of course, is that debt represents the easy way out for politicians who like to promise much – but not have to worry about the consequences afterwards.

That thinking is exemplified in Treasury and Resources earlier report on capital prioritisation. It, too, uses well wrapped wording to explain its rigorously forensic approach to filtering projects when, in reality, it does nothing of the sort.

Its quasi-scientific ‘strategic review process’ was designed to create an illusion of thoroughness so that 19 projects valued at more than £300m. can be allowed to go forward with the States borrowing to fund them.

In reality, not a single hard question has been asked. Nowhere does T&R ask, for example, why the taxpayer should borrow to bail out Aurigny. If the airline has a future it can get money elsewhere, lessening the borrowing requirement by £6m. There are other examples, too, where a single question – ‘will the sky fall in if we don’t do this?’ – could have swept millions off the borrowing requirement.

If the credit crunch has taught one thing, it has to be that excessive or unnecessary debt is a bad thing.

Countless decent businesses have been brought down because clever people thought it a good idea to borrow huge sums on the back of the revenues those businesses were generating.

Unfortunately for local taxpayers, however, no matter how bad things become they will be expected to keep on repaying the borrowings deputies told them they must have.


  1. 1
    Stephen John

    Any chance of a link to this document?

    A search of gov.gg was in vain.

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  2. 2
    Stephen John

    You make the valid point that “What the report doesn’t say is that following the strategy to the letter would represent a debt burden of almost £8,000 per taxpayer”

    Thank goodness they are not talking about PFI PPP schemes. Then the debt burden would be many thousand of pounds extra accompanied by service cutbacks and reduced quality of service.

    Even so, I would still expects some deputies to support PFI schemes no matter what it costs the taxpayer.

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  3. 3
    Martin

    When businesses borrow, directors/owners almost always have to provide personal guarantees….. are the deputies who vote for this willing to provide joint and several guarantees to the lenders ?

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  4. 4
    Stephen John

    Been thinking about expenditure on PFI.

    I would revide my original view that PFI was out of the question.

    I clearly hadn’t allowed for the mind set of many of the deputies.

    I feel that a limitation on borrowing could well lead to the more materialistic deputies seeing this as an opportunity to push PFIschemes, with the ready made excuse that you need it, and this is the only way you can have it.

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  5. 5
    David

    Martin
    That’s usually because the business which is borrowing has no assets as collateral. The States of Guernsey has billions of pounds of assets, and no debt. Its a perfect candidate to be borrowing.
    The key question is not the amount of borrowings that the States would have, but the amount of NET borrowings. Not quite the same thing.

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  6. 6
    Tucker

    The fiscal framework report is here:

    http://gov.gg/ccm/policy-and-hr/billets–resolutions/2009/april/billet-detat—xi-april.en

    The kneejerk comment column appears to believe that by accepting the concept of borrowing, the States has already accepted every project on the short list. But each will be subject to a separate debate, and, of course, may be rejected by the Assembly.

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  7. 7
    Stephen John

    Tucker

    Thanks for the reference to the document.

    A few points

    One thing that strikes me is the hands off approach to ability to pay. The laid back approach to this critical feature might suggest savage tax increases.

    The definition used of “loan” would include PFI \PPP schemes

    The comment “Prudency of the past in building up of reserve funds to accommodate times of exceptional need or extraordinary items…therefore the States should commit to maintenance of the contingency reserve at its post zero ten level in the long run”

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